Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, in either case?) is independent from winning or losing on every other scratch ticket, you treat each event as wages event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent affairs. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Propensity the possibilities of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets back to back (if it is exactly what your is actually asking) must be (2/3)^30 = approximately 5.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 through 10 million, which comes from 1 chance out of 192,307.
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